World Cup
Nov 22, 2022 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Mexico vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

Poland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Mexico 45.12% (+0.16)
Draw 27.27% (-0.10)
Poland 27.61% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.29% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.35% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 57.65% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 21.59% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 78.41% (-0.25)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 74.53% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 25.47% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 39.7% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 60.3% (-0.31)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 63.45% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 36.55% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 26.66% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 73.34% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Mexico 45.11%
Draw 27.27%
Poland 27.61%
Mexico
1-0 @ 12.73% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.76% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.71% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.97% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.27%
Poland
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.61%

Build-up

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