Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.