World Cup
Nov 26, 2022 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Piotr Zielinski 39' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 82' goal

Poland vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 22, 2022 4.00pm
Mexico 0 - 0 Poland

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 22, 2022 10.00am
Argentina 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result

Poland 39.96% (-0.08)
Draw 27.7% (-0.02)
Saudi Arabia 32.34% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.21% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.48% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 57.51% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 21.69% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 78.3% (-0.07)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 71.85% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.14% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.17% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.82% (+0.01)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 67.09% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 32.91% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 30.51% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 69.48% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Poland 39.95%
Draw 27.7%
Saudi Arabia 32.34%
Poland
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 39.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.7%
Saudi Arabia
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 7.25% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.72% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.69% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.34%

Build-up

Feature
Predicted Lineups