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World Cup

Poland national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2022 at 1pm UK
National Stadium
Saudi Arabia national football team

Poland
2 - 0
Saudi Arabia

Zielinski (39'), Lewandowski (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Piotr Zielinski and Robert Lewandowski goals help Poland to a first win at this World Cup as they defeat Saudi Arabia 2-0 in Group C.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup clash between Poland and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Saudi Arabia could line up for Saturday's 2022 World Cup Group C clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Poland
Tuesday, November 22 at 4pm in World Cup

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 22 at 10am in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawSaudi Arabia
39.96% (-0.07 -0.07)27.7% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)32.34% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.21% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.48% (0.075000000000003 0.08)57.51% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.69% (0.059999999999999 0.06)78.3% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)28.14% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)63.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.097999999999999 0.1)32.91% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.109 0.11)69.48% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Poland 39.95%
    Saudi Arabia 32.34%
    Draw 27.7%
PolandDrawSaudi Arabia
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.95%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.34%

How you voted: Poland vs Saudi Arabia

Poland
47.0%
Draw
24.4%
Saudi Arabia
28.6%
864
rhs 2.0


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