Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.