Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.15%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.