World Cup
Argentina
Nov 26, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Mexico
  • Lionel Messi 64' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 87' goal

Argentina vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 22, 2022 10.00am
Argentina 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 22, 2022 4.00pm
Mexico 0 - 0 Poland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mexico had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Mexico win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result

Argentina 45.49% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 27.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Mexico 27.1% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.56% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.59% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 2.5 58.41% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 20.99% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 79.01% ▲ (+0.23)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 74.37% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 25.63% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 39.48% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 60.52% ▲ (+0.35)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Argentina 45.48%
Draw 27.41%
Mexico 27.1%
Argentina
1-0 @ 13.04% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.41%
Mexico
0-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.1%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Argentina
Sep 11, 2019 3.00am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT TBC (USA) (TBC)
Mexico
  • Lautaro Martinez 17' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 22' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 33' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 39' goal
  • Marcos Rojo 45' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuna 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 70' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 10'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 37'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 71'
  • yellowcard Carlos Salcedo 90'
International Friendlies
Argentina
Nov 21, 2018 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza)
Mexico
  • Mauro Icardi 2' goal
  • Santiago Ascacibar 35' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 45' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 71' yellowcard
  • Paulo Dybala 87' goal
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 62'
  • yellowcard Luis Rodriguez 74'
International Friendlies
Argentina
Nov 17, 2018 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba)
Mexico
  • Angel Correa 24' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Funes Mori 44' goal
  • Isaac Brizuela 83' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Fabian 19'
International Friendlies
Mexico
Sep 9, 2015 3.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Argentina
  • Javier Hernandez 19' goal
  • Rafael Marquez 42' yellowcard
  • Javier Hernandez 66' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 70' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 30'
  • goal Sergio Aguero 85'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
  • yellowcard Facundo Roncaglia 90'
World Cup
Argentina
Jun 27, 2010 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT FNB Stadium
Mexico
  • Carlos Tevez 25' goal
  • Gonzalo Higuain 33' goal
  • Carlos Tevez 52' goal
  • goal Javier Hernandez 71'
World Cup
Argentina
Jul 19, 1930 6.00pm
6
3
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Centenario
Mexico
  • Guillermo Stabile 8' goal
  • Adolfo Zumelzu 12' goal
  • Guillermo Stabile 17' goal
  • Francisco Varallo 53' goal
  • Adolfo Zumelzu 55' goal
  • Guillermo Stabile 80' goal
  • goal Manuel Rosas 42'
  • goal Manuel Rosas 65'
  • goal Roberto Gayon 75'

Form Data

Argentina 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia
UAE 0 - 5 Argentina
Argentina 3 - 0 Jamaica
Argentina 3 - 0 Honduras
Brazil 0 - 0 Argentina
Brazil 0 - 0 Argentina
Mexico 0 - 0 Poland
Mexico 1 - 2 Sweden
Mexico 4 - 0 Iraq
Mexico 2 - 3 Colombia
Mexico 1 - 0 Peru
Mexico 0 - 1 Paraguay

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