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Argentina national football team
World Cup | Semi-Finals
Dec 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
Croatia national football team

Argentina
3 - 0
Croatia

Messi (34' pen.), Alvarez (39', 69')
Romero (68'), Otamendi (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kovacic (32'), Livakovic (32')

The Match

Analysis

Sports Mole provides highlights, man of the match and stats for Argentina's Lionel Messi-inspired 3-0 victory over Croatia in the World Cup semi-final.

Match Report

Argentina book their place in the 2022 World Cup final courtesy of a 3-0 semi-final victory against Croatia at the Lusail Stadium on Tuesday night.

Team News

Lionel Messi starts as Argentina make two changes for this evening's World Cup 2022 semi-final showdown against Croatia at the Lusail Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between Argentina and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final with Argentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 3pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawCroatia
50.97% (0.049000000000007 0.05) 25.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.036999999999999 0.04)55.62% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.029 0.03)76.78% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.037000000000006 0.04)21.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (0.055 0.05)55.13% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)39.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 50.96%
    Croatia 23.16%
    Draw 25.88%
ArgentinaDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 13.09%
2-0 @ 9.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: Argentina vs Croatia

Argentina
68.7%
Croatia
31.3%
2697
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2018 7pm
Nov 12, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Argentina
2-1
Croatia
Ansaldi (49'), Messi (57' pen.)
Sharbini (11')
Build-up
Nahuel Molina celebrates scoring for Argentina against the Netherlands on December 9, 2022
World Cup 2022: Argentina vs. Croatia head-to-head record
Ahead of Tuesday's World Cup semi-final clash between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between the two sides.
Dec 12, 20:35
Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring against Australia in the World Cup on December 3, 2022
Argentina vs. Croatia: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Ahead of Friday's World Cup meeting between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at how both squads compare, including their most valuable and top-scoring players.
Dec 12, 19:46
Lionel Messi celebrates as Argentina progress to the semi finals on December 9, 2022
Argentina vs. Croatia: Who could be the key men in World Cup semi-final?
Ahead of Tuesday's World Cup semi-final between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at which players could prove to be decisive for both sides in Qatar.
Dec 12, 19:07
Croatia coach Zlatko Dalic in September 2022
Zlatko Dalic: 'Croatia's 2018 World Cup win over Argentina now irrelevant'
Zlatko Dalic insists that Croatia's emphatic 3-0 win over Argentina will have no baring on Tuesday's World Cup semi-final.
Dec 12, 18:18
Argentina head coach Lionel Scaloni pictured on December 9, 2022
Argentina boss Lionel Scaloni "We've analysed where we can hurt Croatia"
Lionel Scaloni believes that he has discovered a way that his Argentina side can "hurt" Croatia in Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final clash at the Lusail Stadium.
Dec 12, 16:28
Lionel Messi celebrates as Argentina progress to the semi finals on December 9, 2022
Argentina's Lionel Messi looking to break four World Cup records against Croatia
Lionel Messi will be looking to break four World Cup records when his Argentina side lock horns with Croatia in Tuesday's semi-final clash at the Lusail Stadium.
Dec 12, 15:12
Lionel Messi celebrates as Argentina progress to the semi finals on December 9, 2022
World Cup 2022: Why to expect a goal contribution from Argentina's Lionel Messi against Croatia
Ahead of Tuesday's 2022 World Cup semi-final between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at why Lionel Messi is expected to contribute to a goal at the Lusail Stadium.
Dec 12, 14:30
Croatia players react during their penalty-shootout win over Brazil at the World Cup on December 9, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Croatia to be confident of beating Argentina
Ahead of Tuesday's 2022 World Cup semi-final between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at three reasons why Croatia can be confident of securing their place in the final.
Dec 12, 13:40
Nahuel Molina celebrates scoring for Argentina against the Netherlands on December 9, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Argentina to be confident of beating Croatia
Ahead of Tuesday's 2022 World Cup semi-final between Argentina and Croatia, Sports Mole looks at three reasons why Argentina can be confident of securing their place in the final.
Dec 12, 13:25
Croatia players react during their penalty-shootout win over Brazil at the World Cup on December 9, 2022
How Croatia could line up against Argentina
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final with Argentina.
Dec 11, 14:11
Argentina's Gonzalo Montiel celebrates after he scores a penalty during a penalty shootout on December 9, 2022
How Argentina could line up against Croatia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 semi-final with Croatia.
Dec 11, 14:10
Argentina's Marcos Acuna reacts on December 9, 2022
Argentina's Gonzalo Montiel, Marcos Acuna to miss World Cup semi-final with Croatia
Argentina full-backs Gonzalo Montiel and Marcos Acuna will miss next Tuesday's 2022 World Cup semi-final with Croatia due to suspension.
Dec 10, 13:35
rhs 2.0
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Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!