International Friendlies
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-
Yangel Herrera
80'
Venezuela vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.
Result
Venezuela
41.56%
▲
(+2.05)
Draw
28.04%
▲
(+0.98)
Guatemala
30.4%
▼
(-3.03)
Both Teams to Score:
46.58%
▼
(-3.82)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.75%
▼
(-4.37)
Under 2.5
59.25%
▲
(+4.38)
Over 3.5
20.34%
▼
(-3.50)
Under 3.5
79.66%
▲
(+3.50)
Over 4.5
8.53%
▼
(-2.10)
Under 4.5
91.47%
▲
(+2.10)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
71.92%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 0.5
28.08%
▲
(+0.94)
Over 1.5
36.26%
▼
(-1.21)
Under 1.5
63.74%
▲
(+1.21)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5
64.77%
▼
(-4.41)
Under 0.5
35.23%
▲
(+4.41)
Over 1.5
28.01%
▼
(-4.88)
Under 1.5
71.98%
▲
(+4.88)
Score analysis
Venezuela
41.56%
Draw
28.03%
Guatemala
30.39%
Venezuela
1-0
@
12.56%
▲
(+1.66)
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.87)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.31)
4-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 41.56%
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.87)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.31)
4-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 41.56%
Draw
1-1
@
13.1%
▲
(+0.26)
0-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+1.53)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.59)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.03%
0-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+1.53)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.59)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.03%
Guatemala
0-1
@
10.31%
▲
(+0.47)
1-2 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.72)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.59)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.43)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 30.39%
1-2 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.72)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.59)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.43)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 30.39%