Friendlies 1

Jun 18, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

Venezuela
1 - 0
Guatemala

Herrera (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Venezuela and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Honduras
Friday, June 16 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Guatemala

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Guatemala
Friday, June 16 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	3	4	7
2	Mexico	3	6	5
3	Cuba	3	-7	3
4	Guatemala	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result
Venezuela	Draw	Guatemala
41.56% ( 2.05)	28.04% ( 0.98)	30.4% ( -3.02)

Both teams to score 46.58% (

-3.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.75% (

-4.37)

59.25% (

4.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.34% (

-3.49)

79.66% (

3.49)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92% (

-0.93)

28.08% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.26% (

-1.2)

63.74% (

1.2)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

-4.4)

35.23% (

4.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

-4.88)

71.98% (

4.88)

Score Analysis

Venezuela 41.56%

Guatemala 30.39%

Draw 28.03%

Venezuela	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 1.65) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.87) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.76% Total : 41.56%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 1.52) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.72) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.59) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.42) Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.39%