Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.