Friendlies 1

Jun 16, 2023 at 4am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

Costa Rica
0 - 1
Guatemala

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mejia (6', 6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Costa Rica and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Wednesday, March 29 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Costa Rica
Wednesday, June 21 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Guatemala

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 11 at 11pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Venezuela vs. Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	3	4	7
2	Mexico	3	6	5
3	Cuba	3	-7	3
4	Guatemala	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Guatemala
44.45% ( 0.52)	28.16% ( -0.11)	27.38% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 44.73% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.17% (

0.17)

60.82% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.13% (

0.13)

80.86% (

-0.13)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72% (

0.35)

27.27% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.29% (

0.46)

62.7% (

-0.46)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.51% (

-0.25)

38.48% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.76% (

-0.24)

75.23% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 44.44%

Guatemala 27.38%

Draw 28.15%

Costa Rica	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 44.44%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.38%