Costa Rica national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 4am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
Guatemala national football team

Costa Rica
0 - 1
Guatemala

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mejia (6', 6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Costa Rica and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Wednesday, March 29 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Costa Rica
Wednesday, June 21 at 1am in International Friendlies

Guatemala

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 11 at 11pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Venezuela vs. Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Costa RicaDrawGuatemala
44.45% (0.517 0.52)28.16% (-0.109 -0.11)27.38% (-0.415 -0.41)
Both teams to score 44.73% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.17% (0.168 0.17)60.82% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.13% (0.125 0.13)80.86% (-0.133 -0.13)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.34899999999999 0.35)27.27% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (0.457 0.46)62.7% (-0.463 -0.46)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.51% (-0.254 -0.25)38.48% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (-0.241 -0.24)75.23% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 44.44%
    Guatemala 27.38%
    Draw 28.15%
Costa RicaDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.119 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.49% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.02% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.38%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Guatemala

Costa Rica
83.8%
Draw
10.8%
Guatemala
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Guatemala
1-0
Costa Rica
Cincotta (31')
Carlos Pinto (34'), Saravia (50')

Waston (42'), Cruz (51')