Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trinidad and Tobago in this match.