Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 9.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.48%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Guatemala
71.97% ( -0.02)	18.94% ( 0.01)	9.09% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 36.77% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.27% (

-0.01)

52.73% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.63% (

-0.01)

74.36% (

0.01)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.63% (

-0.01)

13.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.73% (

-0.02)

40.26% (

0.02)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.44% (

0.01)

57.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.65% (

0.01)

89.35% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Mexico 71.96%

Guatemala 9.09%

Draw 18.94%

Mexico	Draw	Guatemala
2-0 @ 15.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 15.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 71.96%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.94%	0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 9.09%