CONCACAF Nations League
Mexico
Mar 27, 2023 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
Jamaica
  • Orbelin Pineda 17' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 45'+2' goal
  • goal Bobby Reid 7'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 32' (OG)

Mexico vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 12.00am
Suriname 0 - 2 Mexico

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 15, 2022 1.00am
Jamaica 1 - 1 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 77.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 6.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (12.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 77.76% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 15.89% ▲ (+0.23)
Jamaica 6.35% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.39% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.48% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 49.52% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 3.5 28.45% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 3.5 71.56% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 4.5 13.61% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 4.5 86.39% ▲ (+0.38)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 89.19% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 10.81% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 65.14% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 34.87% ▲ (+0.55)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 37.44% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 62.56% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 8.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 91.91% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Mexico 77.75%
Draw 15.89%
Jamaica 6.35%
Mexico
2-0 @ 16.73% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 15.04% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 12.41% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 77.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 15.89%
Jamaica
0-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 6.35%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Jamaica
Jun 15, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Independence Park
Mexico
  • Leon Bailey 4' goal
  • Jamoi Topey 7' yellowcard
  • Amari'i Bell 48' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Uriel 37'
  • goal Luis Romo 45'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jamaica
Jan 28, 2022 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Mexico
  • Damion Lowe 45'+2' redcard
  • Daniel Johnson 50' goal
  • goal Henry Martin 81'
  • goal Alexis Vega 83'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mexico
Sep 3, 2021 3.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Jamaica
  • Alexis Vega 21' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 22' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 50' goal
  • Henry Martin 89' goal
  • Henry Martin 90' goal
  • yellowcard Cory Burke 14'
  • goal Shamar Nicholson 65'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jamaica
Jul 27, 2015 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Mexico
  • Je-Vaughn Watson 24' yellowcard
  • Rodolph Austin 30' yellowcard
  • Darren Mattocks 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jason Duenas 7'
  • goal Andres Guardado 31'
  • yellowcard Diego Reyes 34'
  • goal Jesus Corona 47'
  • goal Oribe Peralta 61'

Form Data

Suriname 0 - 2 Mexico
Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Mexico
Argentina 2 - 0 Mexico
Mexico 0 - 0 Poland
Mexico 1 - 2 Sweden
Mexico 4 - 0 Iraq
Jamaica 0 - 0 Trin. & Tob.
Jamaica 0 - 1 Trin. & Tob.
Cameroon 1 - 1 Jamaica
Argentina 3 - 0 Jamaica
Qatar 1 - 1 Jamaica
Jamaica 1 - 1 Mexico