CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Mar 27, 2023 at 1am UK

Mexico
2 - 2
Jamaica

Pineda (17'), Lozano (45+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-2)

Reid (7'), Alvarez (32' og.)

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Mexico and Jamaica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Suriname 0-2 Mexico
Friday, March 24 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

Jamaica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Trin. & Tob.
Wednesday, March 15 at 12am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 77.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 6.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (12.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Jamaica
77.76% ( -0.3)	15.89% ( 0.22)	6.35% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 33.39% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.48% (

-0.61)

49.52% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.45% (

-0.55)

71.56% (

0.56)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.19% (

-0.24)

10.81% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.14% (

-0.54)

34.87% (

0.55)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.44% (

-0.14)

62.56% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.09% (

-0.07)

91.91% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Mexico 77.75%

Jamaica 6.35%

Draw 15.89%

Mexico	Draw	Jamaica
2-0 @ 16.73% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 77.75%	1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.89%	0-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 6.35%