CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Mar 24, 2023 at 12am UK

Suriname
0 - 2
Mexico

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vasquez (64'), Dankerlui (82' og.)

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Suriname and Mexico.

Form, Standings, Stats

Suriname

Last Game: Suriname 2-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, September 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Mexico

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mexico
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Suriname win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Suriname	Draw	Mexico
14.68% ( -0.06)	21.32% ( 0.15)	63.99% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 46.48% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71% (

-0.74)

49.28% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66% (

-0.67)

71.33% (

0.66)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.5% (

-0.53)

45.49% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.67% (

-0.42)

81.32% (

0.42)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.27% (

-0.28)

14.72% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.07% (

-0.52)

42.92% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Suriname 14.68%

Mexico 63.99%

Draw 21.31%

Suriname	Draw	Mexico
1-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.68%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.31%	0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 63.99%