CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 24, 2023 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Johan Vasquez 64'
  • goal Damil Dankerlui 82' (OG)

Suriname vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Suriname

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 12, 2022 3.00am
Mexico 3 - 0 Suriname

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 15, 2022 1.00am
Jamaica 1 - 1 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Suriname win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result

Suriname 14.68% (-0.06)
Draw 21.32% (+0.16)
Mexico 63.99% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.48% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.71% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 49.28% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 28.66% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 71.33% (+0.67)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5 54.5% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 45.49% (+0.53)
Over 1.5 18.67% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 81.32% (+0.42)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 85.27% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 14.72% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 57.07% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 42.92% (+0.52)

Score analysis

Suriname 14.68%
Draw 21.31%
Mexico 63.99%
Suriname
1-0 @ 5.28% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 3.98% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.7% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.31%
Mexico
0-1 @ 12.83% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 12.29% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 7.85% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 3.76% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.96% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.44% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 63.99%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 12, 2022 3.00am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
  • Israel Reyes 3' goal
  • Israel Reyes 4' goal
  • Julian Araujo 10' yellowcard
  • Julian Araujo 11' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 24' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 25' yellowcard
  • Henry Martin 40' goal
  • Erick Sanchez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Shaquille Pinas 59'
  • yellowcard Calvin Mac-Intosch 61'