World Cup
Nov 30, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Salem Al-Dawsari 90'+5' goal
  • goal Henry Martin 47'
  • goal Luis Chavez 52'

Saudi Arabia vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 26, 2022 1.00pm
Poland 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 26, 2022 7.00pm
Argentina 2 - 0 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mexico in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result

Saudi Arabia 22.35% (-0.01)
Draw 25.81% (-0.01)
Mexico 51.83% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.67% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.93%
Under 2.5 56.07%
Over 3.5 22.85% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 77.15%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 59.6% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.4% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 22.98% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 77.02% (+0.01)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 78.31% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.69% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.16% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.84% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Saudi Arabia 22.35%
Draw 25.8%
Mexico 51.83%
Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27%
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 22.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.8%
Mexico
0-1 @ 13.39%
0-2 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-3 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.73% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 51.83%

Build-up

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