Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Mexico national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 2
Mexico

Al-Dawsari (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martin (47'), Chavez (52')

The Match

Match Report

Mexico beat Saudi Arabia 2-1 in the World Cup this evening, but it is not enough for them to progress, with both teams bowing out of the competition.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup clash between Saudi Arabia and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Mexico could line up for Wednesday's World Cup 2022 Group C clash with Saudi Arabia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Saudi Arabia
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in World Cup
All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 26 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mexico in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawMexico
22.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.83% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.67% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93%56.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.15%
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)40.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)77.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.69% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.84% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 22.35%
    Mexico 51.83%
    Draw 25.8%
Saudi ArabiaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27%
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 22.35%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 13.39%
0-2 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-3 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 51.83%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Mexico

Saudi Arabia
39.1%
Draw
15.6%
Mexico
45.4%
983
rhs 2.0


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