Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for French Guiana had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a French Guiana win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.