International Friendlies
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-
Jesus Ferreira
81'
-
Carlos Uriel
55'
USA vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result
USA
36.37%
▲
(+1.55)
Draw
27.87%
▲
(+0.03)
Mexico
35.76%
▼
(-1.58)
Both Teams to Score:
48.19%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.24%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
57.76%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
21.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
78.5%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
9.21%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
90.79%
▲
(+0.03)
USA Goals
Over 0.5
69.61%
▲
(+0.96)
Under 0.5
30.39%
▼
(-0.96)
Over 1.5
33.42%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
66.58%
▼
(-1.13)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
69.23%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 0.5
30.77%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 1.5
32.97%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 1.5
67.04%
▲
(+1.20)
Score analysis
USA
36.36%
Draw
27.86%
Mexico
35.76%
USA
1-0
@
11.13%
▲
(+0.32)
2-1 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 36.36%
2-1 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 36.36%
Draw
1-1
@
13.12%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.86%
0-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.86%
Mexico
0-1
@
11.02%
▼
(-0.29)
1-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.36)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.76%
1-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.36)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.76%
