World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Colombia
1 - 0
Venezuela

Borre (46', 46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (33'), Gonzalez (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

Last Game: Germany 0-2 Colombia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Venezuela

All competitions

Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.18%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.96%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Venezuela
61.9% ( 0.33)	24.44% ( -0.06)	13.65% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 36.17% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.01% (

-0.21)

61.99% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.27% (

-0.16)

81.73% (

0.16)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

0.04)

20.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.79% (

0.07)

52.21% (

-0.07)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.23% (

-0.55)

54.77% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.25% (

-0.34)

87.75% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Colombia 61.89%

Venezuela 13.65%

Draw 24.44%

Colombia	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 17.63% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 14.18% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 61.89%	0-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.09) 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.87% Total : 13.65%