Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 12.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.74%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Iraq
64.9% ( 0.36)	22.91% ( -0.12)	12.2% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 36.3% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.39% (

-0.02)

59.61% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06% (

-0.01)

79.94% (

0.01)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

0.12)

18% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.14% (

0.21)

48.86% (

-0.21)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.27% (

-0.4)

55.73% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.69% (

-0.24)

88.31% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Colombia 64.89%

Iraq 12.2%

Draw 22.89%

Colombia	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 17.2% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 14.74% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.93% 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 64.89%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.68% Total : 12.2%