Russia national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2023 at 4pm UK
RZD Arena
Iraq national football team

Russia
2 - 0
Iraq

Miranchuk (50'), Pinyaev (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Russia and Iraq.

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 1-1 Russia
Thursday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Iraq

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Kuwait
Friday, December 30 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
RussiaDrawIraq
55.15% (-0.163 -0.16)25.6% (0.052000000000003 0.05)19.24% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 43.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (-0.055 -0.05)58.46% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)79.05% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)21.28% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (-0.137 -0.14)54.21% (0.138 0.14)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.88% (0.095999999999997 0.1)45.12% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.97% (0.074999999999999 0.07)81.03% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Russia 55.14%
    Iraq 19.24%
    Draw 25.6%
RussiaDrawIraq
1-0 @ 14.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.93% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 55.14%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.6% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.71% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 19.24%

How you voted: Russia vs Iraq

Russia
75.0%
Draw
6.3%
Iraq
18.8%
16