Russia vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.