World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Chile
0 - 0
Colombia

Maripan (77', 77')
Catalan (39'), Catalan (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arias (41'), Arias (41'), Carrascal (48'), Carrascal (48'), Diaz (54'), Diaz (54'), Machado (64'), Machado (64'), Duran (90'), Duran (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Chile
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	1	4	3
2	Uruguay	1	2	3
3	Argentina	1	1	3
4	Colombia	1	1	3
5	Paraguay	1	0	1
6	Peru	1	0	1
7	Venezuela	1	-1	0
8	Ecuador	1	-1	0
9	Chile	1	-2	0
10	Bolivia	1	-4	0

Colombia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	1	4	3
2	Uruguay	1	2	3
3	Argentina	1	1	3
4	Colombia	1	1	3
5	Paraguay	1	0	1
6	Peru	1	0	1
7	Venezuela	1	-1	0
8	Ecuador	1	-1	0
9	Chile	1	-2	0
10	Bolivia	1	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Colombia
54.32% ( 0.21)	26.27% ( -0.08)	19.41% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 41.78% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.53% (

0.13)

60.47% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.4% (

0.1)

80.6% (

-0.1)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

0.15)

22.46% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99% (

0.22)

56.01% (

-0.22)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.89% (

-0.07)

46.11% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.19% (

-0.05)

81.81% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Chile 54.3%

Colombia 19.41%

Draw 26.26%

Chile	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 15.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 54.3%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.41%