World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Matias Catalan
39'
-
Matias Catalan
39'
-
Guillermo Maripan
77'
-
Guillermo Maripan
77'
-
Jhon Arias
41'
-
Jhon Arias
41'
-
Jorge Carrascal
48'
-
Jorge Carrascal
48'
-
Luis Diaz
54'
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Luis Diaz
54'
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Deiver Machado
64'
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Deiver Machado
64'
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Jhon Duran
90'
-
Jhon Duran
90'
Chile vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Chile
54.32%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
26.27%
▼
(-0.09)
Colombia
19.41%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
41.78%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.53%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
60.47%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
19.4%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
80.6%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
8%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
92%
▼
(-0.06)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
77.53%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
22.46%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
43.99%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
56.01%
▼
(-0.22)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5
53.89%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
46.11%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
18.19%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
81.81%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Chile
54.3%
Draw
26.26%
Colombia
19.41%
Chile
1-0
@
15.46%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.54% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 54.3%
2-0 @ 11.54% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 54.3%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.26%
0-0 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.26%
Colombia
0-1
@
8.02%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.41%
1-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.41%