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World Cup

Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Venezuela national football team

Brazil
1 - 1
Venezuela

Magalhaes (50', 50')
Richarlison (56'), Richarlison (56'), Andre (83'), Andre (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bello (85', 85')
Herrera (31'), Herrera (31'), Rincon (33'), Rincon (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Venezuela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Brazil
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Paraguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
BrazilDrawVenezuela
71.85% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)17.44% (0.020999999999997 0.02)10.71% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 47.29% (0.40199999999999 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (0.279 0.28)41.83% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (0.28100000000001 0.28)64.23% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)10.3% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.28% (0.082000000000008 0.08)33.71% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.71% (0.426 0.43)47.28% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3% (0.319 0.32)82.7% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 71.85%
    Venezuela 10.71%
    Draw 17.44%
BrazilDrawVenezuela
2-0 @ 12.58% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 9.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.06% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.028 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.85%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.44%
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.11% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 10.71%

How you voted: Brazil vs Venezuela

Brazil
80.4%
Draw
10.7%
Venezuela
8.9%
56
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Venezuela
1-3
Brazil
Bello (80'), Hernandez (88')
Marquinhos (60')
> Preview
Jun 13, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Venezuela
Marquinhos (23'), Neymar (64' pen.), Barbosa (89')
Lodi (38'), Barbosa (66')

Manzano (69'), Mago (80')
> Preview
Nov 14, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
1-0
Venezuela
> Preview
Jun 19, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
0-0
Venezuela
> Match Report
Jun 21, 2015 10.30pm
Group Stage
Brazil
2-1
Venezuela
> Match Report