Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Venezuela national football team

Brazil
1 - 1
Venezuela

Magalhaes (50', 50')
Richarlison (56'), Richarlison (56'), Andre (83'), Andre (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bello (85', 85')
Herrera (31'), Herrera (31'), Rincon (33'), Rincon (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Venezuela.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
This competition
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina172238
2Ecuador17829
3Brazil17828
4Uruguay171027
5Colombia17725
6Paraguay17325
7Venezuela17-718
8Bolivia17-1917
9Peru17-1412
10Chile17-1810
All competitions
This competition
Last Game: Venezuela 0-2 Canada
Wednesday, November 19 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina172238
2Ecuador17829
3Brazil17828
4Uruguay171027
5Colombia17725
6Paraguay17325
7Venezuela17-718
8Bolivia17-1917
9Peru17-1412
10Chile17-1810

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
BrazilDrawVenezuela
71.85% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)17.44% (0.020999999999997 0.02)10.71% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 47.29% (0.40199999999999 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (0.279 0.28)41.83% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (0.28100000000001 0.28)64.23% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)10.3% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.28% (0.082000000000008 0.08)33.71% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.71% (0.426 0.43)47.28% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3% (0.319 0.32)82.7% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 71.85%
    Venezuela 10.71%
    Draw 17.44%
BrazilDrawVenezuela
2-0 @ 12.58% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 9.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.06% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.028 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.85%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.44%
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.11% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 10.71%

How you voted: Brazil vs Venezuela

Brazil
80.4%
Draw
10.7%
Venezuela
8.9%
56
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Venezuela
1-3
Brazil
Ramirez (11')
Alexander Bello Gil (80'), Bello (80'), Hernandez (88')
Marquinhos (71'), Barbosa (85' pen.), Antony (90+5')
Marquinhos (60')
Jun 13, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Venezuela
Marquinhos (23'), Neymar (64' pen.), Barbosa (89')
Lodi (38'), Barbosa (66')

Manzano (69'), Mago (80')
Nov 14, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
1-0
Venezuela
Firmino (67')
Luiz (30')

Casseres Jr (20'), Machis (76'), Rincon (81')
Jun 19, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
0-0
Venezuela
Casemiro (41')
Murillo (37'), Figuera (91')
Jun 21, 2015 10.30pm
Group Stage
Brazil
2-1
Venezuela
Silva (9'), Firmino (51')
Silva (83')
Fedor (84')
Vargas (45'), Seijas (45'), Tunez (88')