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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
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Brazil5 - 1Bolivia
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up for Friday's World Cup qualifier against Bolivia in Belem.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 2-4 Senegal
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 3.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.44%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.66%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
Result | ||
Brazil | Draw | Bolivia |
86.43% (![]() | 10.08% (![]() | 3.49% (![]() |
Both teams to score 33.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% (![]() | 36.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.5% (![]() | 58.49% (![]() |
Brazil Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.18% (![]() | 5.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.63% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() |
Bolivia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
35.27% (![]() | 64.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
7.11% (![]() | 92.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brazil 86.42%
Bolivia 3.49%
Draw 10.08%
Brazil | Draw | Bolivia |
2-0 @ 15.23% (![]() 3-0 @ 14.44% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 10.71% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 10.26% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 86.42% | 1-1 @ 4.66% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 10.08% | 0-1 @ 1.64% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 3.49% |
How you voted: Brazil vs Bolivia
Brazil
91.1%Draw
5.1%Bolivia
3.8%79
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2022 12.30am
Group Stage
Bolivia
0-4
Brazil
Oct 10, 2020 1.30am
Jun 15, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Bolivia
Oct 5, 2017 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
0-0
Brazil
Jul 20, 1930 4pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0


Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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