International Friendlies
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Enner Valencia
69'
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Enner Valencia
69'
Ecuador vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
Result
Ecuador
72.87%
▲
(+0.32)
Draw
18.03%
▼
(-0.34)
Bolivia
9.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
39.29%
▲
(+1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.82%
▲
(+1.45)
Under 2.5
49.18%
▼
(-1.45)
Over 3.5
28.76%
▲
(+1.30)
Under 3.5
71.24%
▼
(-1.30)
Over 4.5
13.82%
▲
(+0.87)
Under 4.5
86.18%
▼
(-0.87)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
87.94%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 0.5
12.06%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 1.5
62.44%
▲
(+1.07)
Under 1.5
37.56%
▼
(-1.07)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
44.68%
▲
(+0.99)
Under 0.5
55.32%
▼
(-0.99)
Over 1.5
11.93%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 1.5
88.07%
▼
(-0.58)
Score analysis
Ecuador
72.86%
Draw
18.03%
Bolivia
9.1%
Ecuador
2-0
@
14.92%
▼
(-0.30)
1-0 @ 14.11% ▼ (-0.57)
3-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.17)
5-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 72.86%
1-0 @ 14.11% ▼ (-0.57)
3-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.17)
5-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 72.86%
Draw
1-1
@
8.35%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.41)
2-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.03%
0-0 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.41)
2-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.03%
Bolivia
0-1
@
3.95%
▼
(-0.12)
1-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 9.1%
1-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 9.1%
