Australia vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.