Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Ecuador
42.74% ( -0.02)	29.08% ( 0)	28.18% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.55% (

-0)

63.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.21% (

-0)

82.79% (

-0)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.01)

29.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

-0.02)

65.46% (

0.01)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

0.01)

39.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24% (

0.01)

76% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Australia 42.73%

Ecuador 28.17%

Draw 29.07%

Australia	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 14.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 42.73%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.07%	0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.47% Total : 28.17%