Friendlies 1

Mar 28, 2023 at 9.30am UK

Marvel Stadium

Australia
1 - 2
Ecuador

Borrello (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Estupinan (51' pen.), Pacho (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Australia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Australia 3-1 Ecuador
Friday, March 24 at 9am in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Ecuador

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Australia 3-1 Ecuador
Friday, March 24 at 9am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ecuador in this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Ecuador
43.8% ( -0.01)	29.1%	27.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 42.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.05% (

63.95% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.85% (

83.15% (

-0)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0)

29.13% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-0)

65.06% (

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.51% (

0.01)

40.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.9% (

0.01)

77.1% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Australia 43.79%

Ecuador 27.1%

Draw 29.09%

Australia	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.11% 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 43.79%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.09%	0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.32% Total : 27.1%