Bolivia national football team
Friendlies 1
Aug 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Panama national football team

Bolivia
1 - 2
Panama

Ursino (52')
Rojas Cespedes (35'), Ursino (40'), Roca (45+1'), Suarez (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lenis (12', 87')
Martinez (32'), Harvey (50'), Enrique Brown Martinez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Bolivia and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bolivia 0-0 Chile
Wednesday, June 21 at 1am in International Friendlies

Panama

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Panama
Monday, July 17 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
BoliviaDrawPanama
32.78% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)26.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.42% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.94% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.023 0.02)72.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)29.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)65.25%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.46% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04)58.9% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 32.78%
    Panama 41.16%
    Draw 26.05%
BoliviaDrawPanama
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.78%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 10.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.16%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Panama

Bolivia
7.7%
Draw
38.5%
Panama
53.8%
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