CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 17, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Masafi Stadium
  • Santiago Gimenez 88' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 88' goal

Mexico vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

Panama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result

Mexico 59.29% (-0.11)
Draw 23.81% (+0.21)
Panama 16.9% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.08% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.87% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 55.13% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 23.62% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 76.38% (+0.75)
Over 4.5 10.5% (-0.47)
Under 4.5 89.5% (+0.47)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 81.63% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 18.37% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 50.51% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 49.49% (+0.64)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5 53.99% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 46.01% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 18.28% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 81.72% (+0.52)

Score analysis

Mexico 59.29%
Draw 23.8%
Panama 16.9%
Mexico
1-0 @ 14.32% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 12.13% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 59.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.45% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.8%
Panama
0-1 @ 6.56% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 16.9%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 18, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Stadium
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 4'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 4'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Feb 3, 2022 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hector Herrera 46' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 80' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Davis 89'
  • yellowcard Jose Fajardo 90'
  • yellowcard Armando Cooper 90'+1'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rolando Blackburn 28' goal
  • goal Jesus Corona 76'
International Friendlies
Jul 1, 2021 2.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Diego Lainez 21' goal
  • Cesar Montes 57' goal
  • Henry Martin 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Davis 62'
  • yellowcard Francisco Palacios 79'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 23, 2015 2.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Georgia Dome, Atlanta
  • Anibal Godoy 3' yellowcard
  • Luis Tejada 24' redcard
  • Roman Torres 56' goal
  • Roberto Nurse 78' yellowcard
  • Valentin Pimentel 83' yellowcard
  • Adolfo Machado 88' yellowcard
  • Armando Cooper 90' yellowcard
  • Roman Torres 103' yellowcard
  • Harold Cummings 107' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Vela 3'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 54'
  • goal Andres Guardado 90'
  • yellowcard Paul Aguilar 90'
  • yellowcard Javier Orozco 94'
  • goal Andres Guardado 105'