MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 02:47:09| >> :600:27608082:27608082:
Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Final
Jul 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Masafi Stadium
Panama national football team

Mexico
1 - 0
Panama

Gimenez (88')
Vasquez (11'), Montes (45+3'), Gallardo (54'), Alvarez (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cummings (21'), Christiansen (26'), Carrasquilla (55'), Godoy (64'), Mosquera (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Mexico and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Mexico
Thursday, July 13 at 3.36am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Panama (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Mexico 1-0 Panama

Honestly, this match could go either way, as these two teams have probably been the most consistent at the 2023 Gold Cup, but it seems as though being under-the-radar heading into this competition has served Mexico well, while the pressure of potentially being the first side from Central America to win this tournament may be too much for Los Canaleros to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawPanama
59.29% (-0.109 -0.11) 23.81% (0.207 0.21) 16.9% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.08% (-0.747 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-0.904 -0.9)55.13% (0.904 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-0.749 -0.75)76.38% (0.749 0.75)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.374 -0.37)18.37% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.638 -0.64)49.49% (0.638 0.64)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.99% (-0.665 -0.66)46.01% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28% (-0.521 -0.52)81.72% (0.52 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 59.29%
    Panama 16.9%
    Draw 23.8%
MexicoDrawPanama
1-0 @ 14.32% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 12.13% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.9%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
68.1%
Draw
10.6%
Winner Semi-final 2
21.3%
47
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 11pm
Third-Place Playoff
Panama
0-1
Mexico

Quintero Medina (33'), Godoy (57'), Mejia (75'), Martinez (78'), Miller (90')
Gallardo (4')
Romo (28'), Herrera (31'), Araujo (45+4'), Vasquez (54'), Sanchez (81'), Reyes (84')
Feb 3, 2022 3am
Third Round
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Herrera (46')
Davis (89'), Fajardo (90'), Cooper (90+1')
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-1
Mexico
Blackburn (28')
Corona (76')
Jul 1, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
3-0
Panama
Jul 23, 2015 2am
Semi-Finals
Panama
1-2
Mexico
Torres (56')
Godoy (3'), Nurse (78'), Pimentel (83'), Machado (88'), Cooper (90'), Torres (103'), Cummings (107')
Tejada (24')
Guardado (90' pen., 105')
Vela (3'), Herrera (54'), Aguilar (90'), Orozco (94')
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool382410486414582
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
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7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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