Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Panama
59.29% ( -0.11)	23.81% ( 0.21)	16.9% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 44.08% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87% (

-0.9)

55.13% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

-0.75)

76.38% (

0.75)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63% (

-0.37)

18.37% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

-0.64)

49.49% (

0.64)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.99% (

-0.66)

46.01% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.28% (

-0.52)

81.72% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Mexico 59.29%

Panama 16.9%

Draw 23.8%

Mexico	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 59.29%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.9%