Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 74.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 7.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.64%) and 3-0 (11.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.14%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Honduras
74.84% ( 0.13)	17.9% ( -0.13)	7.26% ( 0)

Both teams to score 32.32% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

0.47)

54.18% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

0.39)

75.59% (

-0.38)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

0.18)

12.95% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.57% (

0.36)

39.43% (

-0.36)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.13% (

0.28)

62.87% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.95% (

0.13)

92.05% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Mexico 74.82%

Honduras 7.26%

Draw 17.91%

Mexico	Draw	Honduras
2-0 @ 17% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 16.64% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 74.82%	0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.91%	0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 7.26%