Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Third-Place Playoff
Jun 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Mexico national football team

Panama
0 - 1
Mexico

FT(HT: 0-2)
Gallardo (4', 4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Panama had a probability of 38.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Panama win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawMexico
38.29%20.57%41.14%
Both teams to score 75.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.82%23.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.5%42.5%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25%13.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.98%41.02%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24%12.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.97%39.03%
Score Analysis
    Panama 38.29%
    Mexico 41.14%
    Draw 20.57%
PanamaDrawMexico
2-1 @ 7.11%
3-2 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.7%
1-0 @ 3.48%
2-0 @ 3.45%
4-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-3 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.13%
5-2 @ 0.95%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 38.29%
2-2 @ 7.32%
1-1 @ 7.17%
3-3 @ 3.32%
0-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 5.06%
2-3 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 3.72%
0-1 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.55%
3-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.07%
2-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 41.14%

How you voted: Panama vs Mexico

Panama
18.9%
Mexico
81.1%
37