Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Jun 16, 2023 at 12am UK
Allianz Stadium
Canada national football team

Panama
0 - 2
Canada

FT(HT: 0-1)
David (25'), Davies (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in International Friendlies

Canada

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 4-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Panama had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawCanada
34.27% (0.237 0.24)28.71% (-0.208 -0.21)37.01% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.62% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.11% (0.73399999999999 0.73)60.89% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09% (0.548 0.55)80.91% (-0.547 -0.55)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.54600000000001 0.55)33.34% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.594 0.59)69.96% (-0.593 -0.59)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (0.358 0.36)31.56% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.41 0.41)67.95% (-0.40899999999999 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Panama 34.27%
    Canada 37.01%
    Draw 28.71%
PanamaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 12.13% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Panama vs Canada

Panama
15.7%
Draw
5.9%
Canada
78.4%
51
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 12am
International Friendly
Canada
0-0
Panama
> Preview
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-0
Canada
Torres (49')
Davis (15'), Martinez (47'), Cummings (57'), Carrasquilla (89'), Luis Rodriguez (90+5'), Mejia (90+7')

Cavallini (16'), Osorio (89')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
Canada
4-1
Panama
Murillo (28' og.), Davies (66'), Buchanan (71'), David (78')
Blackburn (5')
> Preview