Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.