/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fqatlog.png)
Hazem Shehata
27'
Mexico vs Qatar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F16%2Fmexico.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result
Mexico
66.7%
▼
(-0.53)
Draw
20.64%
▲
(+0.24)
Qatar
12.66%
▲
(+0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
43.28%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.32%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 2.5
50.68%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 3.5
27.41%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 3.5
72.58%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 4.5
12.92%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 4.5
87.07%
▲
(+0.19)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
85.67%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
14.33%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
57.83%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 1.5
42.17%
▲
(+0.52)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5
50.52%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 0.5
49.48%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
15.7%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
84.29%
▼
(-0.20)
Score analysis
Mexico
66.69%
Draw
20.64%
Qatar
12.66%
Mexico
1-0
@
13.77%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 13.38% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 66.69%
2-0 @ 13.38% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 66.69%
Draw
1-1
@
9.69%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20.64%
0-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20.64%
Qatar
0-1
@
4.99%
▲
(+0.11)
1-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.66%
1-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.66%