Haiti national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 11pm UK
NRG Stadium
Qatar national football team

Haiti
2 - 1
Qatar

Nazon (45+1' pen.), Pierrot (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abdel Razaq (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Haiti and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions
Last Game: Haiti 3-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, March 28 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Qatar

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 0-1 New Zealand
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haiti in this match.

Result
HaitiDrawQatar
38.74% (0.518 0.52)24.91% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)36.35% (-0.473 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.05% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73% (0.185 0.19)45.27% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39% (0.177 0.18)67.61% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (0.351 0.35)23.17% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (0.512 0.51)57.06% (-0.512 -0.51)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.172 -0.17)24.44% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (-0.245 -0.24)58.88% (0.243 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Haiti 38.74%
    Qatar 36.35%
    Draw 24.9%
HaitiDrawQatar
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.065 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 36.35%

How you voted: Haiti vs Qatar

Haiti
24.1%
Draw
6.9%
Qatar
69.0%
29