Jamaica national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 15, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sonnenseestadion
Qatar national football team

Jamaica
1 - 2
Qatar

Nicholson (61' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ahmed (31'), Muntari (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Jamaica and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Jamaica
Monday, March 27 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Qatar
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
JamaicaDrawQatar
43.77% (0.023000000000003 0.02)28.04% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)28.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.94% (0.010000000000005 0.01)60.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)80.28% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.01700000000001 0.02)27.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (0.020000000000003 0.02)62.71% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.18% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 43.77%
    Qatar 28.19%
    Draw 28.02%
JamaicaDrawQatar
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 43.77%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Qatar

Jamaica
58.5%
Draw
22.0%
Qatar
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 4pm
International Friendly
Qatar
1-1
Jamaica
Muneer (83')
Ro-Ro (65'), Khoder (90+6')
Fletcher (70')
Fletcher (12')
rhs 2.0


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