Haiti vs Montserrat - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.