Haiti national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Jun 7, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez
Montserrat national football team

Haiti
3 - 2
Montserrat

Prunier (5'), Antoine (9'), Sabat (25')
Alceus (81')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Simon (18'), Taylor (90+2' pen.)
Comley (37')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Haiti and Montserrat.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

Last Six:
Last Game: Haiti 3-2 Montserrat
Tuesday, June 7 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Guyana vs. Haiti
Saturday, June 11 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Montserrat

Last Game: Haiti 3-2 Montserrat
Tuesday, June 7 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Montserrat vs. Bermuda
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.

Result
HaitiDrawMontserrat
39.94% (-0.058 -0.06)24.77% (0.021999999999998 0.02)35.29% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.4% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)44.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.12% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)22.34% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.103 -0.1)55.83% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.79% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)59.37% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Haiti 39.94%
    Montserrat 35.29%
    Draw 24.76%
HaitiDrawMontserrat
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 39.94%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Haiti vs Montserrat

Haiti
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Montserrat
15.4%
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