World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round

Mar 24, 2021 at 10pm UK

Stadion Ergilio Hato

Antigua
2 - 2
Montserrat

Kirwan (23'), Bishop (45')
Henry (49')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Taylor (7' pen., 26')
Dyer (53')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Montserrat.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Montserrat
29.9%	25.93%	44.17%

Both teams to score 52.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55%

51.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74%

73.26%

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48%

31.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08%

67.92%

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8%

23.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.91%

57.09%

Score Analysis

Antigua and Barbuda 29.9%

Montserrat 44.17%

Draw 25.93%

Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Montserrat
1-0 @ 8.44% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.9%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 7.81% 1-3 @ 4.39% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.17%