CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Mar 25, 2023 at 9pm UK

Montserrat
0 - 4
Haiti

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nazon (49'), Pierrot (60'), Etienne (70'), Prunier (84')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and Haiti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

Last Game: Montserrat 3-2 Bermuda
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Haiti

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Haiti 6-0 Guyana
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.

Result
Montserrat	Draw	Haiti
27.34% ( -0.15)	22.21% ( -0.08)	50.45% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 63.52% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.71% (

0.27)

36.28% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.59% (

0.3)

58.41% (

-0.29)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.04)

25.54% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

0.05)

60.4% (

-0.05)

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

0.18)

14.69% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.14% (

0.34)

42.86% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Montserrat 27.34%

Haiti 50.45%

Draw 22.21%

Montserrat	Draw	Haiti
2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.34%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.21%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.3% Total : 50.45%