Friendlies 2

Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK

Sonnenseestadion

Qatar
0 - 1
New Zealand

FT(HT: 0-1)

Stamenic (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Qatar and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Qatar
Thursday, June 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

New Zealand

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Sweden 4-1 New Zealand
Friday, June 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for New Zealand had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest New Zealand win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Qatar	Draw	New Zealand
43.96% ( 9.81)	22.46% ( -4.92)	33.58% ( -4.88)

Both teams to score 66.55% (

17.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.08% (

22.11)

33.93% (

-22.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.22% (

21.34)

55.78% (

-21.34)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

14.84)

16.1% (

-14.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.5% (

21.74)

45.5% (

-21.73)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

7.61)

20.68% (

-7.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

10.74)

53.27% (

-10.74)

Score Analysis

Qatar 43.96%

New Zealand 33.58%

Draw 22.46%

Qatar	Draw	New Zealand
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 1.15) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -4.18) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 2.35) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 2.32) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 1.03) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 1.56) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 1.37) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.85) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.78) Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -3.38) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 2.09) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -5.42) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 1.42) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.63) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -5.8) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -2.84) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.52) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 1.6) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.77) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.48) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.79) Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58%