New Zealand national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2023 at 6am UK
Westpac Stadium
China national football team

New Zealand
0 - 0
China

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between New Zealand and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
Last Game: New Zealand 0-2 Australia
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

China

Last Game: Oman 2-0 China
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for China had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a China win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
New ZealandDrawChina
67.68% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)18.39% (0.056000000000001 0.06)13.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.1% (-0.194 -0.19)37.9% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.85% (-0.208 -0.21)60.15% (0.21 0.21)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)10.28% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (-0.167 -0.17)33.66% (0.169 0.17)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)39.49% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)76.18% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 67.68%
    China 13.93%
    Draw 18.39%
New ZealandDrawChina
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 8.58% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.39%
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.77% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 13.93%

How you voted: New Zealand vs China

New Zealand
64.1%
Draw
20.3%
China
15.6%
64