Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for China had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	China
64.03% ( 0.04)	20.56% ( -0.01)	15.41% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.59% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.32% (

-0.03)

44.68% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

-0.03)

67.05% (

0.03)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.75% (

-0)

13.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.97% (

40.03% (

-0)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.31% (

-0.07)

41.69% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.84% (

-0.06)

78.16% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

New Zealand 64.03%

China 15.41%

Draw 20.56%

New Zealand	Draw	China
2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.97% Total : 64.03%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.56%	0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 15.41%