Qatar national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 12.45am UK
Vale Farm Stadium
Honduras national football team

Qatar
1 - 1
Honduras

Al-Abdullah (7', 7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elis (90+6', 90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Qatar and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 Qatar
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Monday, June 26 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
QatarDrawHonduras
39.21% (-2.178 -2.18)29.56% (0.214 0.21)31.23% (1.963 1.96)
Both teams to score 42.79% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.92% (-0.174 -0.17)64.08% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.76% (-0.123 -0.12)83.24% (0.124 0.12)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-1.375 -1.38)31.83% (1.375 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-1.606 -1.61)68.27% (1.605 1.61)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77% (1.43 1.43)37.23% (-1.43 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (1.384 1.38)74.02% (-1.383 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 39.21%
    Honduras 31.22%
    Draw 29.55%
QatarDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 13.56% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.557 -0.56)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 11.85% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.55%
0-1 @ 11.7% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.301 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.467 0.47)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.178 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Qatar vs Honduras

Qatar
74.5%
Draw
13.7%
Honduras
11.8%
51
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2022 4.59pm
International Friendly
Qatar
1-0
Honduras
Jul 21, 2021 2am
Group Stage
Honduras
0-2
Qatar
Bengtson (30')
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