Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Haiti win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Haiti	Draw	Mexico
19.46% ( 0.37)	25.42% ( 0.11)	55.13% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 43.99% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41% (

0.03)

57.59% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.64% (

0.03)

78.36% (

-0.02)

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.64% (

0.45)

44.36% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.58% (

0.36)

80.42% (

-0.36)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.18)

20.94% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.33% (

-0.28)

53.67% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Haiti 19.46%

Mexico 55.12%

Draw 25.41%

Haiti	Draw	Mexico
1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.46%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 14.52% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 11.35% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 55.12%