Mexico vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 70.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.