CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 1, 2023 2.06am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena

El Salvador vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 26, 2023 11.30pm
El Salvador 1 - 2 Martinique

Costa Rica

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 27, 2023 2.00am
Costa Rica 1 - 2 Panama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result

El Salvador 47.31% (+0.07)
Draw 26.34% (+0.02)
Costa Rica 26.34% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.02% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.03% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 54.96% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 23.76% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.24% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.58% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.42% (+0.05)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 76.77% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.23% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.86% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.14% (+0.01)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5 63.85% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 36.14% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 27.07% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 72.93% (+0.12)

Score analysis

El Salvador 47.31%
Draw 26.34%
Costa Rica 26.34%
El Salvador
1-0 @ 12.25% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 8.95% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.4% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.34%
Costa Rica
0-1 @ 8.55% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.34%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 27, 2022 10.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Cristian Gil 31' goal
  • Alexander Larin 49' yellowcard
  • Kevin Reyes 68' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Contreras 30'
  • goal Joel Campbell 45'+1'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 10, 2021 11.05pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bryan Ruiz 52' goal
  • Celso Borges 57' goal
  • Celso Borges 66' yellowcard
  • goal Jairo Henriquez 12'
  • yellowcard Herberth Marcelo Diaz 46'
  • yellowcard Roberto Dominguez 63'
  • redcard Narciso Orellana 85'
International Friendlies
Aug 22, 2021 4.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Marvin Monterroza 19' yellowcard
  • Narciso Orellana 53' yellowcard
  • Ronald Gomez 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Johan Venegas 38'
  • yellowcard Barlon Andres Sequeira Sibaja 49'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Jose Blanco Mora 81'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 12, 2015 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston
  • Joel Campbell 9' yellowcard
  • Bryan Ruiz 61' goal
  • Johan Venegas 89' yellowcard
  • David Guzman 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Menjivar 30'
  • yellowcard Alexander Mendoza 57'
  • yellowcard Darwin Ceren 62'
  • goal Dustin Corea 92'