El Salvador national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2023 at 2.06am UK
Red Bull Arena
Costa Rica national football team

El Salvador
0 - 0
Costa Rica

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between El Salvador and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Martinique
Monday, June 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Panama
Tuesday, June 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
El SalvadorDrawCosta Rica
47.31% (0.067999999999998 0.07)26.34% (0.010000000000002 0.01)26.34% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.03% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)54.96% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (-0.07 -0.07)76.24% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.23% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (-0.112 -0.11)36.14% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (-0.114 -0.11)72.93% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 47.31%
    Costa Rica 26.34%
    Draw 26.34%
El SalvadorDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 12.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.34%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Costa Rica

El Salvador
41.5%
Draw
19.5%
Costa Rica
39.0%
41
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 10.05pm
Third Round
El Salvador
1-2
Costa Rica
Gil (31')
Larin (49'), Reyes (68')
Contreras (30'), Campbell (45+1')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2021 11.05pm
Third Round
Costa Rica
2-1
El Salvador
Ruiz (52'), Borges (57' pen.)
Borges (66')
Henriquez (12')
Marcelo Diaz (46'), Dominguez (63')
Orellana (85')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 4am
Friendlies 1
El Salvador
0-0
Costa Rica
Monterroza (19'), Orellana (53'), Gomez (69')
Venegas (38'), Andres Sequeira Sibaja (49'), Jose Blanco Mora (81')
Jul 12, 2015 2am
Group Stage
Costa Rica
1-1
El Salvador
Ruiz (61')
Campbell (9'), Venegas (89'), Guzman (93')
Corea (92')
Menjivar (30'), Mendoza (57'), Ceren (62')
> Match Report