Friendlies 1

Jun 21, 2023 at 1.15am UK

Subaru Park

Ecuador
3 - 1
Costa Rica

Valencia (20', 20'), Pacho (57', 57'), Vite (82', 82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (66', 66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Bolivia
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

Costa Rica

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Guatemala
Friday, June 16 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Costa Rica
63.63% ( -0.23)	23.48% ( 0.12)	12.89% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 36.66% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.78% (

-0.18)

60.22% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.6% (

-0.14)

80.41% (

0.14)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

-0.15)

18.69% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.97% (

-0.25)

50.03% (

0.26)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.08% (

0.08)

54.92% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.17% (

0.05)

87.84% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 63.62%

Costa Rica 12.89%

Draw 23.47%

Ecuador	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 17.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 63.62%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 12.89%