Ecuador vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.