Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 76.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.