El Salvador national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 26, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium

El Salvador
1 - 2
Martinique

Tamacas (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burner (11'), Fortune (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between El Salvador and Martinique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 1-1 El Salvador
Tuesday, June 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Martinique

All competitions
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Costa Rica
Saturday, March 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 76.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
El SalvadorDrawMartinique
76.29% (0.146 0.15)16.83% (-0.126 -0.13)6.87% (-0.024100000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 33.37% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (0.41399999999999 0.41)51.38% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.361 0.36)73.2% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27% (0.155 0.16)11.72% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.14% (0.33900000000001 0.34)36.85% (-0.343 -0.34)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.8% (0.196 0.2)62.2% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.26% (0.091000000000001 0.09)91.73% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 76.29%
    Martinique 6.87%
    Draw 16.83%
El SalvadorDrawMartinique
2-0 @ 16.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 15.63% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 11.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.42% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.75% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 76.29%
1-1 @ 7.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.76% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 6.87%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Martinique

El Salvador
73.2%
Draw
10.7%
Martinique
16.1%
56