Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.