Costa Rica national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 2am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Panama national football team

Costa Rica
1 - 2
Panama

Suarez (90+1', 90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fajardo (23', 23'), Joel Barcenas (68', 68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Costa Rica and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Costa Rica
Wednesday, June 21 at 1.15am in International Friendlies

Panama

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Mexico
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawPanama
41.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)30.29% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.82% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.57% (0.037000000000006 0.04)61.43% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.68% (0.026 0.03)81.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)29.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (0.019999999999996 0.02)65.42% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)36.49% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)73.28% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 41.03%
    Panama 30.29%
    Draw 28.66%
Costa RicaDrawPanama
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 30.29%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Panama

Costa Rica
31.3%
Draw
14.6%
Panama
54.2%
48
Head to Head
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Panama
Jun 3, 2022
12.30am
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Panama  
P
vs.
C
   Costa Rica
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Ruiz (65')
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0-0
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