CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage

Jul 5, 2023 at 2am UK

Red Bull Arena

Costa Rica
6 - 4
Martinique

Waston (9'), Calvo (40'), Pablo Vargas (53'), Campbell (58' pen.), Contreras (68'), Campos (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Burner (18', 78'), Labeau (74' pen.), Mexique (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Costa Rica and Martinique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

CONCACAF Gold Cup

Last Game: El Salvador 0-0 Costa Rica
Saturday, July 1 at 2.06am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	2	2	6
2	Martinique	2	0	3
3	Costa Rica	2	-1	1
4	El Salvador	2	-1	1

Martinique

All competitions

CONCACAF Gold Cup

Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Panama
Friday, June 30 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	2	2	6
2	Martinique	2	0	3
3	Costa Rica	2	-1	1
4	El Salvador	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Martinique
63.8% ( -1.39)	21.33% ( 0.72)	14.87% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04% (

-1.64)

48.96% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95% (

-1.51)

71.05% (

1.5)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32% (

-0.95)

14.68% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.15% (

-1.86)

42.84% (

1.85)

Martinique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.96% (

-0.04)

45.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.03% (

-0.03)

80.96% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 63.8%

Martinique 14.87%

Draw 21.32%

Costa Rica	Draw	Martinique
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.3% Total : 63.8%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.32%	0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.87%