CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 30, 2023 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Karl Fabien 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jose Fajardo 57'
  • goal Michael Murillo 69'

Martinique vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Martinique

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 26, 2023 11.30pm
El Salvador 1 - 2 Martinique

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 27, 2023 2.00am
Costa Rica 1 - 2 Panama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Martinique win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result

Martinique 22.12% (-0.04)
Draw 24.93% (-0.01)
Panama 52.95% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.86% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.96% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 53.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 25.37% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.62% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.4% (+0.02)

Martinique Goals

Over 0.5 61.08% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 38.92% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 24.36% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 75.64% (+0.05)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5 79.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.01% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.2% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Martinique 22.12%
Draw 24.93%
Panama 52.93%
Martinique
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 22.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.93%
Panama
0-1 @ 12.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.07% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.51% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.1% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.93%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 12, 2022 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Municipal Pierre-Aliker
  • Tarik Jaleel Cavelan 89' redcard
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 10, 2022 1.00am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez
  • Gabriel Torres 6' goal
  • Karl Vitulin 15' goal
  • Fidel Escobar 56' goal
  • Thomas Christiansen Tarin 60' redcard
  • Orlando Mosquera 83' yellowcard
  • Edgar Joel Barcenas 85' goal
  • Edgar Joel Barcenas 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Rivierez 21'
  • yellowcard Daniel Herelle 61'