CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Panama national football team

Martinique
1 - 2
Panama

Fabien (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fajardo (57'), Murillo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Martinique and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Martinique

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Martinique
Monday, June 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Panama
Tuesday, June 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Martinique win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
MartiniqueDrawPanama
22.12% (-0.038 -0.04)24.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)52.95% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.62% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)38.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.044 -0.04)75.64% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (0.012 0.01)20.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.2% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Martinique 22.12%
    Panama 52.93%
    Draw 24.93%
MartiniqueDrawPanama
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 22.12%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 5.41% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.93%

How you voted: Martinique vs Panama

Martinique
18.8%
Draw
12.5%
Panama
68.8%
32
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2022 11pm
League A
Martinique
0-0
Panama
Jaleel Cavelan (89')
Jun 10, 2022 1am
League A
Panama
5-0
Martinique
Torres (6'), Vitulin (15' og.), Escobar (56'), Joel Barcenas (85', 90+3')