Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.54%).