USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Canada national football team

USA
2 - 2
Canada

Vazquez (88'), Kennedy (114' og.)
FT
(aet)
Vitoria (90+3' pen.), Shaffelburg (109')
USA win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 6-0 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Canada

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 4-2 Cuba
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.92%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Canada had a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (11.67%).

Result
USADrawCanada
41.92%30.43%27.65%
Both teams to score 39.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.38%67.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.32%85.68%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94%32.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47%68.53%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85%42.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43%78.57%
Score Analysis
    USA 41.92%
    Canada 27.64%
    Draw 30.43%
USADrawCanada
1-0 @ 15.37%
2-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.55%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.92%
0-0 @ 13.51%
1-1 @ 13.28%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.43%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 27.64%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group A vs 2nd position Group D

1st ranked Group A
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
2nd position Group D
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 1.30am
Final
Canada
0-2
USA

Kennedy (15'), Laryea (45+4')
Richards (12'), Balogun (34')
Cardoso (80'), Turner (81')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2022 8.05pm
Third Round
Canada
2-0
USA
Larin (7'), Adekugbe (90+5')
Vitoria (31'), Buchanan (88')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2021 1am
Third Round
USA
1-1
Canada
Aaronson (55')
Larin (62')
> Preview
Jul 18, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
USA
1-0
Canada
Moore (1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!