Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.92%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Canada had a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (11.67%).