CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 29, 2023 2.30am
0
6
HT : 0 4
FT CityPark
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 12'
  • goal Bryan Reynolds 14'
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 16'
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 25'
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 50'
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 79'

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 25, 2023 9.00pm
Trin. & Tob. 3 - 0 Saint Kitts

USA

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 25, 2023 3.00am
USA 1 - 1 Jamaica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 4.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-2 with a probability of 19.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (18.36%) and 0-3 (13.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.75%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result

Saint Kitts and Nevis 4.82% (-0.17)
Draw 16.12% (-0.04)
USA 79.06% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

25.11% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.97% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 56.02% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 22.89% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 77.11% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 10.05% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 89.95% (+0.24)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5 28.61% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 71.39% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 4.55% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 95.45% (+0.29)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 87.75% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 12.26% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 62.02% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 37.98% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Saint Kitts and Nevis 4.82%
Draw 16.12%
USA 79.04%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 2.95% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 1.04% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 4.82%
Draw
0-0 @ 8.75% (+0.16)
1-1 @ 6.19% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 1.1% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 16.12%
USA
0-2 @ 19.27% (+0.24)
0-1 @ 18.36% (+0.29)
0-3 @ 13.48% (+0.12)
0-4 @ 7.08% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.12)
0-5 @ 2.97% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.07)
0-6 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 79.04%