Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 4.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-2 with a probability of 19.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (18.36%) and 0-3 (13.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.75%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.